Bologna vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
SAM
2 - 3
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 1
BOL
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
ACM
3 - 1
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1962 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1962 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1962 |
TOR
1 - 0
VNZ
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
TOR
0 - 1
JUV
29%
24%
48%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |