Bologna vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
COS
0 - 1
BOL
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 3
CAS
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
ANC
0 - 2
BOL
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
TAR
2 - 0
REG
34%
30%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIA
47%
30%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
PES
1 - 1
TAR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1991 |
TAR
2 - 0
CAS
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
PIS
1 - 0
TAR
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |