Bologna vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
12%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
BOL
3 - 1
SSS
64%
24%
11%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
PIS
2 - 3
BOL
63%
24%
13%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAG
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
BOL
2 - 2
BAR
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
TAR
60%
26%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
TAR
4 - 2
CAM
40%
33%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
CAT
1 - 2
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
CAG
37%
32%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
LAZ
35%
34%
32%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |