Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Bologna vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
BOL
1 - 0
NAP
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
PAR
5 - 0
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
SPA
4 - 1
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
GÓR
1 - 2
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
3 - 0
GÓR
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |