Bologna vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
48%
28%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BOL
4 - 1
SAM
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
NAP
1 - 2
BOL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
FIO
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1977 |
RIM
1 - 0
SPA
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
ATL
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
COM
0 - 0
SPA
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
59%
26%
15%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 0
LEC
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |