Bologna vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
60%
21%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
INT
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
BOL
0 - 1
FIO
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
30%
29%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 3
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
TOR
1 - 0
SPA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
BRE
0 - 1
SPA
54%
27%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
SPA
0 - 1
ROM
39%
27%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |