Bologna vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
10.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
USF
2 - 0
BOL
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 4
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VIC
3 - 1
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
TOR
38%
30%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 2
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
NAP
4 - 2
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |