Bologna vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1954 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 1
UDI
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ROM
3 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
1 - 0
UNI
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
NAP
3 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
SPA
2 - 2
INT
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |