Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-0
Bologna vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
0 - 0
VER
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
AND
2 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
PIA
0 - 0
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
0 - 1
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
SAM
2 - 2
TER
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
COS
1 - 2
SAM
14%
22%
64%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |