Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
22.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
PRG
1 - 1
BOL
58%
26%
16%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
32%
30%
38%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
TOR
0 - 0
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
51%
28%
21%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
UDI
0 - 2
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
ROM
2 - 0
PES
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
ACM
0 - 0
ROM
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1980 |
ROM
1 - 1
AVE
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 3
ROM
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
INT
38%
29%
33%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |