Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BOL
4 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
ROM
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
TOR
2 - 1
ROM
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |