Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SAM
0 - 2
BOL
32%
28%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 3
SPA
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
NAP
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 1
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
ROM
0 - 0
CHL
44%
23%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
ATL
0 - 2
ROM
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |