Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
GEN
7 - 2
BOL
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 0
BAR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
0 - 1
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
MOD
3 - 0
ROM
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
15%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 3
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
3 - 2
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ASL
2 - 2
ROM
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |