Bologna vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
TOR
3 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
BOL
3 - 0
PAL
86%
9%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
PAD
1 - 1
ROM
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
ROM
0 - 1
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
TRI
1 - 1
ROM
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
ROM
4 - 0
ACM
62%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |