Coppa Italia Final
Global 7-2
Bologna vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOL
20%
28%
52%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BOL
5 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ACM
4 - 2
BOL
51%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
ROM
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1967 |
REG
2 - 3
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MES
2 - 4
REG
33%
30%
36%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
REG
0 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
VNZ
2 - 3
REG
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
REG
1 - 4
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1967 |
REG
2 - 3
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |