Bologna vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 0
BOL
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 0
ABN
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
CRO
0 - 0
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
BOL
43%
28%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
PIA
48%
28%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIA
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
PIA
0 - 3
VIC
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 3
PIA
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
PIA
4 - 0
CES
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |