Bologna vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
PAD
2 - 4
BOL
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
BOL
4 - 2
TRI
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
USC
0 - 0
BOL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
BOL
4 - 1
MOD
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
BAR
2 - 1
BOL
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 1
BRE
49%
28%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
PIA
0 - 0
SSS
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
ATL
2 - 1
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ARZ
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1988 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIA
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |