Bologna vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
48%
29%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
BOL
1 - 0
VER
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
BOL
2 - 3
USC
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
PIS
2 - 0
BOL
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
54%
29%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PIA
1 - 1
VER
15%
23%
62%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
PIA
60%
20%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
PIA
3 - 4
PIS
49%
22%
29%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
PIA
1 - 2
PAR
73%
16%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
PIA
1 - 2
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +4 |