Serie B Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
Bologna vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 0
VIR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
BOL
29%
30%
41%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 2
PES
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
PES
1 - 0
VIC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 2
PES
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
PES
3 - 0
LIV
48%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |