Bologna vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 2
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
FIO
2 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 1
UDI
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
BOL
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
2 - 0
PIA
55%
25%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
LAZ
1 - 0
PRG
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PRG
1 - 0
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2000 |
PRG
1 - 2
FIO
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
0 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |