Bologna vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
26%
30%
44%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 2
BOL
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 0
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
BOL
0 - 1
ATL
30%
25%
46%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAD
56%
23%
20%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
22%
30%
49%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
USF
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
PIS
0 - 1
PRG
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
ANC
4 - 3
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 2
ACI
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |