Bologna vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 1
BOL
56%
28%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
ASC
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CAG
1 - 0
BOL
46%
33%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
SSS
55%
29%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BOL
47%
32%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 1
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
PRG
1 - 1
VIC
38%
32%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |