Bologna vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOL
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
USF
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOL
31%
33%
35%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
VAR
61%
25%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
PRG
2 - 2
PIS
53%
31%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
COM
2 - 2
PRG
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAV
50%
30%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 1
PRG
41%
30%
30%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAT
48%
32%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |