Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 1-2
Bologna vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
BOL
2 - 1
NAP
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
BEO
1 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
BEO
1 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BEO
6 - 1
RAP
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
RAP
3 - 1
BEO
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
SPA
3 - 0
BEO
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
BEO
1 - 3
SPA
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |