Bologna vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BOL
4 - 1
GEN
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
BOL
5 - 0
PRO
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1955 |
JUV
5 - 1
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 0
NAP
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
INT
3 - 0
NOV
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
NOV
3 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
NOV
3 - 3
UDI
46%
24%
31%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |