Bologna vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
FIO
1 - 3
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
FIO
2 - 0
NOV
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
2 - 0
GEN
66%
19%
14%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
NOV
0 - 4
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
UDI
1 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |