Bologna vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BOL
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
56%
21%
22%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
TRI
2 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SAM
1 - 1
NOV
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
NOV
4 - 1
TRI
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
0 - 1
INT
29%
23%
48%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |