Bologna vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
LIV
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOL
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BOL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
NOV
53%
22%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
GEN
33%
22%
44%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
INT
3 - 1
NOV
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
NAP
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |