Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
47.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 2
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1989 |
NAP
2 - 1
STU
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
NAP
1 - 0
VER
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
BYM
2 - 2
NAP
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
FIO
1 - 3
NAP
34%
30%
36%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
47%
28%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |