Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 5
INT
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
FIO
3 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
15%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 0
BOL
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
NAP
0 - 2
JUV
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAP
23%
28%
49%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
INT
3 - 2
NAP
46%
27%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 1
CES
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |