Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
44%
24%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 2
INT
53%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
FIO
6 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
BOL
0 - 2
TRI
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 0
USA
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 0
SPA
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |