Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
SAL
2 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
40%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 1
BOL
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 3
MOD
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 1
ATL
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
NAP
3 - 0
LIV
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
NAP
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |