Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
NOV
4 - 0
BOL
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
FIO
0 - 0
BOL
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
62%
19%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NAP
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
INT
2 - 2
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |