Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
BRE
2 - 0
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
PRO
1 - 2
BOL
32%
25%
42%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 0
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
MOD
0 - 2
BOL
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
BOL
4 - 1
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1931 |
USA
4 - 3
NAP
24%
20%
56%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1931 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
44%
23%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1931 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |