Bologna vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIU
54%
21%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 1
BRE
67%
17%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
JUV
3 - 2
NAP
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 4
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |