Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 1
PES
78%
15%
6%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 0
BOL
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
RAV
0 - 1
BOL
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 2
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
RIM
1 - 1
MOD
39%
28%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CAT
0 - 1
MOD
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |