Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
21%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1993 |
USC
2 - 2
BOL
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 1
VER
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
TAR
3 - 2
BOL
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
PIA
3 - 1
BOL
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 3
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1993 |
MOD
0 - 0
TER
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
VER
0 - 1
MOD
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
2 - 2
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
FIA
0 - 1
MOD
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |