Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
REG
1 - 2
BOL
18%
26%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
54%
27%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
NAP
3 - 0
BOL
46%
30%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1971 |
BOL
3 - 2
ACM
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
VER
0 - 0
BOL
41%
28%
31%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 1
MOD
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
62%
25%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
BRE
1 - 0
MOD
65%
23%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
MOD
0 - 0
LIV
52%
29%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |