Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
JUV
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
BOL
4 - 0
PAL
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
VNZ
0 - 3
BOL
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
SSS
0 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 0
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FIO
1 - 2
MOD
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
USF
3 - 0
MOD
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |