Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1958 |
BOL
1 - 0
INT
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
PAD
3 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
BOL
4 - 0
VIC
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
MOD
0 - 6
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |