Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1943 |
BOL
2 - 5
GEN
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1943 |
GEN
3 - 1
BOL
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 3
ACL
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
BOL
0 - 2
VNZ
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1942 |
MOD
0 - 4
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 0
USA
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
ROM
2 - 0
MOD
72%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
MOD
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1942 |
JUV
1 - 1
MOD
73%
16%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |