Bologna vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
BOL
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 2
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BAR
1 - 0
MOD
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
INT
4 - 2
MOD
75%
15%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |