Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CAG
0 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 0
VER
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 0
BOL
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
63%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 1
BEN
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
1 - 1
SAS
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |