Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
BOL
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
LAZ
3 - 1
BOL
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 1
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PRG
0 - 3
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
UDI
1 - 2
ACM
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |