Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
54.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
ANC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
REG
1 - 0
BOL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
USF
0 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
ACM
3 - 0
PIA
73%
19%
8%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 0
SPA
66%
22%
12%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
ACM
3 - 2
CAG
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 1
STR
65%
22%
13%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |