Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
BOL
3 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
BOL
44%
30%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
USF
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ATL
3 - 0
BOL
31%
33%
35%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASS
73%
20%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
BAR
1 - 4
ACM
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAM
76%
18%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ACM
26%
27%
48%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAT
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |