Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
TOR
3 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BOL
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
VER
1 - 0
BOL
53%
27%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
FCC
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ACM
4 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
VER
1 - 3
ACM
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 0
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
MAC
3 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRG
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |