Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
VAR
1 - 4
BOL
33%
30%
37%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
TER
0 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
TOR
3 - 3
BOL
53%
26%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
BOL
1 - 1
VIC
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
ACM
0 - 0
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1975 |
NAP
2 - 0
ACM
40%
27%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
ACM
2 - 0
TOR
63%
23%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 1
ACM
19%
26%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
ACM
3 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |