Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
BOL
0 - 5
JUV
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
BOL
3 - 2
CES
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1975 |
ACM
0 - 0
INT
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
JUV
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 0
BOL
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
TER
1 - 3
ACM
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | +1 |