Bologna vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
BOL
3 - 1
UDI
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
LAZ
1 - 2
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
0 - 1
TRI
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 3
NAP
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
FIO
1 - 1
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1953 |
TOR
1 - 1
ACM
26%
23%
51%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ACM
2 - 1
FIO
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
ACM
4 - 2
COM
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
JUV
0 - 3
ACM
64%
18%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
ACM
3 - 1
LAZ
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |